5 November 2012
Last updated at 11:45 GMT
US set for final campaigning day
US presidential rivals Barack Obama and Mitt Romney face a
final day of campaigning, with a last-gasp dash for undecided voters in
swing states.
- Mardell: Battle for America's soul
- Battleground states
- Viewpoints: US economic challenges
- Dymond: New fronts open up
-
Is the economy Obama's fault?
5 November 2012
Last updated at 08:08 GMT
US set for final campaigning day
Analysts say the election will come down to a handful of swing statesUS presidential rivals Barack Obama and Mitt Romney face a final day of campaigning in a frantic fight for swing state votes.Mr Romney is due in Florida, where polls suggest he has the edge, Virginia, New Hampshire and Ohio.
Mr Obama is later scheduled to appear in Madison, Wisconsin, accompanied by Bruce Springsteen, before going on to Iowa and Ohio.
Analysts say the election will come down to a handful of swing states.
Mr Obama and Mr Romney are running almost neck-and-neck in national polls, but surveys of many key battlegrounds show Mr Obama narrowly ahead.
Continue reading the main storyOur experts' analysis
- Mark Mardell, BBC North America editor - The two men do see two visions - two different mirages of a future America, shimmering hazily on the horizon. But the trouble is there really are two Americas existing now. And the gulf between them is getting wider... Read more from Mark
- Jonny Dymond, BBC Washington correspondent - If - and it seems an enormous if at this late stage - the Republicans could take Pennsylvania, it would turn the electoral arithmetic on its head, more than making up for the loss of Ohio... Read more from Jonny
However, neither camp is exuding absolute confidence, the BBC's North America editor Mark Mardell reports.The campaign has been most intense in Ohio, which no Republican has ever lost without making it to the White House.
The pair spent Sunday addressing crowds across the country, with Mr Romney speaking in Pennsylvania, a state his aides insist he can now win on Tuesday.
Mr Obama held rallies in New Hampshire and Florida and carried on to Ohio and Colorado in the evening.
In Florida, Democrats have filed a legal case demanding an extension of time available for early voting, citing unprecedented demand.
In Ohio, Republican election officials will go to court on Monday to defend an 11th-hour directive to local election officials.
Last month, a federal appeals court reinstated early voting on the last three days before Tuesday's election.
Continue reading the main storyPundits' predictions
Two pundits prepared to stick their neck out and predict results in the swing states both foresee a win for Barack Obama. Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball gives Obama 290 electoral college votes - 20 more than the 270 required to win - while Nate Silver at the New York Time's FiveThirtyEight blog envisages Obama taking 307 votes.
There are conservative pundits who predict quite the opposite. One, Dick Morris, a former Democrat, foresees Mitt Romney picking up 325 electoral college votes. George Will of the Washington Post, puts Romney on 321. Meanwhile, from the liberal camp, Josh Marshall's Talking Points Memo puts Barack Obama on 303.
A handful of websites that choose not to predict a result in "toss-up" states see a small advantage for Obama. The New York Times and the Washington Post both think Obama is able to rely on at least 243 electoral college votes, compared with 206 for Mitt Romney. Charlie Cook gives Obama 237 to Romney's 191, while Real Clear Politics leaves a full 146 electoral college votes in the toss-up category, with Obama on 201, and Romney on 191.
The ruling overturned a state law saying early voting should end on the Friday before the election, making an exception only for voters living overseas and for military personnel, who tend to favour Republican candidates.Critics say this potentially favours the Obama camp.
Race 'tightening' A final poll published on Sunday by Ohio's Columbus Dispatch gave Mr Obama a 2% lead - 50% to 48% - over his rival, within the margin of error.
Both candidates visited the Buckeye State on Sunday, with Mr Romney telling crowds in Cleveland that Mr Obama has failed in his pledge to be a "post-partisan" president and criticising his record.
"He's been divisive, blaming, attacking, dividing and - by the way - it's not only Republicans that he refused to listen to, he also refused to listen to independent voices."
Later on Sunday, he spoke in Morrisville, Pennsylvania, his first visit there in the final stages of the campaign. Democrats say the Romney team's last-minute decision to campaign in the state is a sign of desperation, but polls do show a tightening race.
"The people of America understand we're taking back the White House because we're going to win Pennsylvania," Mr Romney told the crowd in Morrisville.
Mr Obama made another appearance in Cincinnati, Ohio, where Stevie Wonder opened a huge evening rally.Mr Obama ended Sunday's campaigning in Aurora, where 12 were killed in a shooting at a cinema
Earlier in the day at a rally in Concord, New Hampshire, Mr Obama said: "We have come too far to turn back now."
He said he would work across party lines to break the political gridlock in Washington, but would not compromise on priorities such as healthcare and college financial aid.
Activists have been stepping up efforts across the crucial swing states.
In Wisconsin, student volunteers have been putting in 14-hour days in an effort to deliver the state for Mr Obama, the BBC's Paul Adams reports from Madison.
An opinion poll on Sunday for ABC News and the Washington Post put the two candidates at 48%, with even voters who term themselves independents split evenly on 46%.
Continue reading the main storyUS election - the essentials
Interactive: Predict the president
Poll tracker: The latest on who is leading
Guide: More about the battleground states
Key issues: What Obama and Romney stand for
Mr Romney remains favoured among whites, seniors and evangelical Christians; Mr Obama among women, non-whites and young adults.The president also remains slightly ahead in most of the nine-or-so swing states that will determine the election.
Opinion polls published on Saturday showed him well-placed in Iowa, Nevada and Ohio, but most remain within the polls' own margins of error.
The election is decided by the electoral college. Each state is given a number of votes based on a mix of population and representation in Congress. The candidate who wins 270 electoral college votes becomes president.
The BBC will be providing full online live results of the US presidential election on 6 November. More details here
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