In an exclusive interview, John Allan criticised David Cameron’s
pledge to hold a vote as “the cart very firmly before the horse” because
the promise of a referendum had come before any EU reforms had been
negotiated.
The warning from a senior business figure to the Prime
Minister will come as a blow to the Conservatives’ key election pitch
to promise a referendum and stave off a surge from Ukip. The Tesco boss
also warned all political parties not to “lock the door and throw the
key away” by implementing immigration controls that deterred skilled
workers from abroad.
Tesco’s John Allan believes leaving the EU is ‘a risk’ (Getty)
Mr Allan, who pointed out that he was not affiliated to any
political party, also criticised Labour’s key manifesto pledge of a
mansion tax on homes worth over £2m, saying it was “pretty difficult to
justify”. He accused Ed Miliband’s party of a lack of clarity on how the
levy would work.
The Conservatives and Ukip have both pledged to
hold a referendum in the next Parliament. Labour is opposed to a
referendum without major changes in Britain’s relationship with
Brussels, while the Liberal Democrats, who are also against a vote, have
left the door open to one as part of a potential coalition deal with
the Tories.
Mr Allan became chairman of Tesco in March, after a
turbulent time for Britain’s biggest supermarket, battered by a surge in
popularity of discount stores Aldi and Lidl and an accounting scandal
last year. This week, Tesco is expected to announce that its profits
plunged by two-thirds last year. Mr Allan is also chairman of the
housing firm Barratt Developments and chairman of London First, a
non-profit organisation that aims to push the capital as the leading
place in the world to do business.
In a wide-ranging interview, Mr
Allan said of the electoral climate: “Something that could make a
difference is a perception that there is a real risk of the UK leaving
the European Union. If people believe in a scenario where there is a
Conservative government and they honour their pledge to hold a
referendum in 2017, but the negotiations don’t go well with the EU and,
at the end of the day, that referendum is lost – I think that could have
a bigger impact on people’s investment decisions.
In pictures: Experts' predictions for the General Election - 19/04/15
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“London has more regional and global headquarters than any
city in the world and some of those headquarters could actually be moved
relatively painlessly to places within the EU. You can’t move factories
easily, but you can move head offices.
“[But] it’s the
uncertainty that is the problem. It seems to me that the cart is very
firmly before the horse. Logically, you would have started with ‘these
are the reforms we would like to see enacted within the EU’ and then, at
the end of the process, determine whether or not you’ve made enough
progress and then decide if a referendum is necessary.
“It’s a
question of weighing up the pluses and minuses. This issue of the EU
referendum and the uncertainty that it creates and the possibility that
it could lead to Britain leaving the EU is a particularly heavy kind of
pebble to put in the scales.”
Mr Allan’s comments came as Frans
van Houten, chief executive of Dutch electronics group Royal Philips,
said that the firm might reconsider investing in the UK if it voted to
leave the EU. Mr van Houten told the
Telegraph it would be “a real loss if the United Kingdom would not be part of Europe”.
Tesco is expected to announce that its profits plunged by two-thirds last year (Getty)
On Labour’s plan for a mansion tax, Mr Allan said Mr Miliband and
his party had been “very unclear about how that tax will work”. He
added: “That is a real issue for London, because it is actually going to
be a London tax and bear upon an awful lot of people in London... if I
were advising them on the implementation of the mansion tax... I would
be arguing for adapting council tax to have more bands so people who
have very expensive houses pay more. But [as to] putting another tax,
and particularly at a penal rate on top of that – it’s pretty difficult
to justify.”
On immigration, Mr Allan said: “All the political
parties have been spooked by Ukip into making commitments on
immigration. There are problems... that need to be sorted out, but I
think the answer is not to lock the door and throw the key away.”
Mr Allan did not sign the letter from 103 business leaders to
The Daily Telegraph
earlier this month supporting the Tories and warning that a Labour
government would be bad for British business and the economy. He said:
“Companies have to work with whatever the government of the day is going
to be and I don’t think they should choose sides in a party sense … I
am not a member of any political party. I would regard myself as being
somewhere pretty close to the centre.”
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EXCLUSIVE Blow for PM as retail chief warns uncertainty over referendum could drive company HQs from Britain
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