Thursday, 15 November
By Francesca Gillett, Toby Luckhurst and Marie Jackson
19:13
- Theresa May says she believes with "every fibre of my being" that the course she has set out for Brexit is the right one
- The PM will answer listeners' questions on LBC on Friday at 0800
- Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab and Work and Pensions Secretary Esther McVey quit this morning
- Prominent Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg is among European Research Group MPs urging confidence vote
- Junior Northern Ireland minister Shailesh Vara, junior Brexit minister Suella Braverman, two parliamentary private secretaries, and two other aides have also stepped down
- Theresa May tells the Commons that "British people want us to get this done"
- Jeremy Corbyn calls it a "botched deal" that breaches the government's own red lines
- Value of the pound drops by over 1%
- Mrs May announced the draft EU withdrawal agreement on Wednesday evening
- "It's not easy," the former Brexit Secretary tells Sky News. "You only do it when the issue is really one of very high principle".
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"Resignation is a very tough thing to do" - Former Brexit secretary @DavidDavisMP backs @DominicRaab's decision to resign from his old job.
Follow all the political fallout here: po.st/9X3s8e
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- Foreign office minister Alistair Burt savages Jacob Rees-Mogg's earlier press conference in a tweet, saying "I think we're all a bit tired of this".
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Dramatic? About as dramatic as a wet Tuesday evening. Submitted a letter? Yawn. I think we’re all a bit tired of this. Out there are real jobs, real lives and real people who would be sabotaged by a No Deal favoured by Jacob. Enough.
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- Economist Linda Yueh says: "I think they are quite worried that this deal is not going to get past Parliament as you've seen of course, a few ministers have gone today and that's really making them very jittery."Financial markets like certainty and if we don't have a withdrawal agreement then there's a good chance we may not have an agreement in time and that gives you that scenario of not really knowing the uncertainty."Sterling at one point was heading for its biggest fall since the referendum two years ago, it's now pulled back a bit after the press conference by Theresa May."
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Source close to Michael Gove confirms he has rejected brexit Secretary job
As expected, but now all eyes on whether he quits government altogether since he clearly can’t really support her deal
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- Henry Newman, from the Open Europe think tank which pushes for reform of the EU, says a no-deal Brexit would not be as disastrous as some are making out."What it seems like is actually the possibility of a no-deal exit is getting higher," he said."We've done some work on that at my think tank and we looked at the medium-term economic effects."If you put aside the disruption - admittedly quite a big thing to put aside - but if you put aside that and look at the effect this would have on trade overall over, say, 13 years, it's a relatively small hit to our GDP growth."And if you could take some unilateral actions, which you don't need to negotiate, you can take that down even further."
- Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has confirmed his support for a public vote on Brexit if no general election can be held, according to Labour List.He restated his support for a second referendum in an email to Labour members on Thursday night.“If we cannot get a General Election, in line with our conference policy, we will support all options remaining on the table, including campaigning for a public vote,” he wrote.
- Peter Bone, the MP for Wellingborough and Rushden was photographed emerging from Downing Street with a smile after around half an hour inside.It was only yesterday in PMQs that the Brexiteer backbencher, who normally wraps his political messages in a joke, was delivering a blunt, in-your-face warning to Mrs May that her deal was unacceptable.
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Still trying to work out why Rees-Mogg and Baker did the whole St Stephen’s press conference if they didn’t know for sure the 48 letters were going in. Have they overplayed their hand and won the PM some breathing space?
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- Liberal Democrat MP Wera Hobhouse is asked if she's read the 585-page draft agreement."No I haven't read it. We've only been given the document this morning, it's difficult to read it."Tory MP Sir William Cash adds: "90% of it has been out there for some time.
- Welsh Secretary Alun Cairns - who is supporting Theresa May - has been speaking at a trade meeting in Swansea, along with International Trade Secretary Liam Fox.Mr Cairns said changing the prime minister "doesn't change the arithmetic of Parliament" - and any other leader would also find it hard to satisfy everyone."I would say to the hardliner Leavers who want to leave without a deal that they run the risk of not having a Brexit."And I would say to the ones who are Remainers who want to ignore the outcome of the referendum that they're running the risk of leaving without a deal, which is the worst that each side would want."
- Theresa May is planning to appear live on LBC radio with Nick Ferrari at 8am tomorrow morning.She'll be answering any questions people may have about the draft deal.
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Theresa May will be taking your calls on LBC tomorrow morning. The Prime Minister will be joining Nick Ferrari to answer questions on the Brexit deal at 8am.
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- Leading Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg and others have submitted a letter of no-confidence in Theresa May. If 48 letters are submitted, a vote on her role as prime minister will be triggered. If that happens, she will need support from at least half of the 315 Conservative MPs to stay in her job.
- The EU has scheduled a special Brexit summit in Brussels on 25 November for EU leaders to officially approve the withdrawal agreement. By that date, the EU and UK also need to agree on a separate document - the political declaration on future relations.
- MPs in the House of Commons will also have a final say on the deal. There will be a debate - probably spanning several days - before a vote on whether to approve the deal. The government would hope that a vote would be held before Christmas.
- If the deal is approved by Parliament, then the deal will come into force in time for the UK's official exit from the EU on 29 March next year.
- After Brexit on 29 March, there will be a transition period until 31 December 2020. This time period would allow both sides time to strike a permanent deal on the UK and EU's relationship. If they have trouble agreeing the deal, the UK could ask to extend the transition period. Or, the EU and UK could set up a temporary single EU-UK customs territory (for everything except fishery and aquaculture products) from January 2021 until a new trade deal is struck.
- Chief Whip Julian Smith has returned to 10 Downing Street carrying a folder, just over an hour after he left Number 10.
- BBC political editor Laura Kuenssberg tweets...
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So,...update - Penny Mordaunt not going anywhere tonight, she's still pushing for this idea of a free vote on final Brexit deal - what's interesting is that she discussed that with the PM, but also the Cabinet Secretary
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Source claims that it's gaining traction - not sure how far that goes or Number 10 are taking it seriously to help persuade her to stay on but..over to @BBCBenWright to explain the spookey echoes of that one...
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- The ITV political editor gives a further hint at the international development secretary's intentions:
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Downing Street thinks @PennyMordaunt has reached a settled position - that she will not resign. Well there is always one
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- German politician Hans-Olaf Henkel, who is a member of the EU Parliament, says the deal has created "enormous chaos" in London - which "is not going to be settled very soon"."We are now in a situation where it's becoming increasingly clear that Brexit is not only bad for Britain but also for the EU," he said."I'm a little bit disappointed in EU leaders who sit [there] and say it's a British problem."It is of course a British problem but it's not only caused by Britain it's also been caused by the EU."Because look, Britain joined a football club but Brussels decided to play golf."So I think what they could specifically do is now offer Britain a new deal. That deal has to be more autonomy for controlling British immigration."
- Founder of the Leave Means Leave campaign Richard Tice says the draft withdrawal agreement that Theresa May has negotiated is "worse than staying in the European Union".Speaking to the BBC News Channel, he says leaving in a no-deal scenario would be better as "it would save the country £39m immediately".
- There are quite a few cabinet members who've been fairly quiet today on the subject of Brexit and Theresa May. Home Secretary Sajid Javid is one of them.Interestingly, he's been meeting Arlene Foster, whose DUP MPs prop up the Conservatives in Parliament.
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We’ll get the first proper signs of what EU27 think of the Withdrawal Agreement and emerging future relationship tomorrow because member state ambassadors are meeting at 0800 Brussels time.
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